Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 10.838820 12.500050 14.276696 16.312059 18.573042 21.001335 23.800111
2025-06-01 8.638684 10.791017 13.235782 16.197613 19.667022 23.580266 28.304792
2025-06-08 7.000511 9.377924 12.222213 15.833639 20.251706 25.434087 31.922416
2025-06-15 6.006338 8.554899 11.743952 15.957077 21.299980 27.769967 36.109087
2025-06-22 5.144408 7.763050 11.179574 15.859622 21.988967 29.622574 39.713013
2025-06-29 4.554186 7.243652 10.886997 16.040034 22.980604 31.835106 43.792404
2025-07-06 4.069877 6.803603 10.639441 16.226865 23.946214 34.008912 47.857887
2025-07-13 3.747519 6.553983 10.618180 16.694469 25.277593 36.676609 52.621341
2025-07-20 3.425566 6.263612 10.502213 17.000237 26.375033 39.045901 57.040517
2025-07-27 3.065150 5.869158 10.191480 16.988243 27.003446 40.777337 60.632205
2025-08-03 2.603597 5.254271 9.488431 16.336918 26.664952 41.139847 62.342902
2025-08-10 2.294135 4.857809 9.087209 16.102192 26.899629 42.283849 65.134340
2025-08-17 1.994227 4.444393 8.626030 15.745099 26.934705 43.146904 67.567185
2025-08-24 1.761585 4.124089 8.288453 15.553852 27.197653 44.329769 70.468246
2025-08-31 1.525901 3.766251 7.852965 15.167952 27.129509 45.009471 72.647127
2025-09-07 1.391784 3.592059 7.722207 15.272770 27.823941 46.826758 76.509874
2025-09-14 1.243690 3.368881 7.482347 15.172510 28.177768 48.132033 79.641720
2025-09-21 1.145965 3.240411 7.405164 15.343988 28.970288 50.116804 83.818979
2025-09-28 1.058341 3.122532 7.336960 15.523164 29.775673 52.135753 88.086157
2025-10-05 1.008388 3.084840 7.419892 15.974025 31.044258 54.900307 93.533530
2025-10-12 0.945657 3.008413 7.419027 16.268997 32.056057 57.283167 98.445745
2025-10-19 0.858434 2.859450 7.258658 16.257323 32.539999 58.838818 102.117422
2025-10-26 0.725818 2.572807 6.786923 15.628548 31.927541 58.620308 103.032852